CB
Cytek Biosciences, Inc. (CTKB)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue of $45.6M declined 2% YoY, but improved sequentially vs Q1 ($41.5M); GAAP gross margin rose to 52% from 49% in Q1 as services and reagents grew 18% YoY each, while instruments remained pressured in EMEA/APAC .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed by ~$0.7M (−1.6%) and GAAP EPS of −$0.04 came in below Primary EPS consensus of −$0.02; consensus based on 4 revenue and 2 EPS estimates (values from S&P Global)*.
- Full-year 2025 revenue guidance narrowed to $196–$205M (from $196–$210M in May and $204–$212M in Feb), effectively lowering the top end; management expects stronger 2H on typical back-end-weighted instrument seasonality and recurring revenue momentum .
- Product cycle catalysts include the launch of Aurora Evo (throughput, automation, small particle detection) and growing Cytek Cloud adoption (20.5k users, +27% YTD), supporting share gains even in a weak CapEx environment .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Recurring revenue strength: service and reagent revenue each grew 18% YoY; recurring revenue reached 32% of LTM sales, providing resilience and margin support .
- U.S. outperformance and installed base growth: U.S. revenue +7% YoY; 146 instruments added in Q2, installed base reached 3,295; FSP unit volumes +3% YoY, led by Aurora analyzers .
- Innovation cadence: Aurora Evo launched with 2x throughput, automation, and small particle detection; management expects it to be margin-supportive at the high end. “We believe [Evo] will accelerate broader adoption of our solutions” (CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- Instruments pressured in EMEA/APAC: EMEA total revenue −11% YoY on weaker pharma/biotech; APAC −12% YoY after a strong Q1 due to longer sales cycles .
- Gross margin below prior year: GAAP gross margin 52% vs 55% in Q2’24 (mix and one-time service parts adjustment), though up from 49% in Q1 .
- Guidance trimmed at the top end: FY25 range narrowed to $196–$205M as management deems prior high end “not reasonably attainable” given market conditions .
Financial Results
Consensus vs Actual (Q2 2025)
- Revenue: $45.602M actual vs $46.349M consensus (−$0.747M, −1.6%)*.
- EPS (GAAP): −$0.04 actual vs Primary EPS consensus −$0.02*; company reports GAAP EPS, consensus is Primary EPS.
- Estimate counts: Revenue (n=4), EPS (n=2).
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment Mix
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management commentary: “We are now guiding to $196–$205M… we do not believe the high end of our existing range is reasonably attainable” .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our second quarter revenue… was $45.6 million, down 2.2% vs 2024… due to lower product revenue in EMEA and APAC, partially offset by strong growth in service revenue and growth in U.S. product revenue” (CEO) .
- “Service and reagent revenue each increased by 18% vs 2024… recurring revenue businesses reached 32% of trailing twelve-month sales” (CEO) .
- “We expanded our global footprint by 146 instruments, bringing [installed base] to 3,295 units… AURORA analyzer was the strongest driver” (CEO) .
- “Adjusted gross margin was 56% in Q2 (58% in prior year)… [GAAP] gross margin improved from 49% in Q1 to 52% in Q2” (CFO) .
- “We are now guiding [FY25 revenue] to a range of $196 million to $205 million… representing −2% to +2% growth” (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Market share and end-market health: Management believes flow cytometry market has softened with capital funding challenges, but Cytek’s FSP unit volumes are growing, implying share gains (CFO: “that would imply we’re taking share”) .
- H2 setup and cadence: Expect typical back-end weighting with margin improvement as instrument mix grows and one-time effects fade; installed base drives durable service growth .
- Macro drivers: Lower rates and NIH funding clarity could help instruments; U.S. academic/government has been weaker; big pharma harmonization benefits platform adoption .
- Product mix and margins: Aurora Evo is the larger revenue contributor at the high end and is margin-supportive; Muse Micro is sub-$20k and margin-neutral overall .
- Capital deployment: Open to M&A in core/adjacent areas to leverage customer overlap; continuing organic investments in reagents and service .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 S&P Global consensus: Revenue $46.349M* (n=4), Primary EPS −$0.02* (n=2). Actuals: Revenue $45.602M; GAAP EPS −$0.04. Result: modest revenue miss (~−1.6%) and EPS below consensus (basis note: Primary EPS vs reported GAAP EPS)* .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Where estimates may adjust:
- Slight trimming of 2H revenue trajectories for EMEA/APAC instruments; potential upward bias for recurring revenue (service and reagents) given sustained high-teens growth and installed base trends .
- Gross margin path likely nudged higher for H2 on mix and normalization of one-time items as guided by CFO .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cyclical instrument softness persists (EMEA/APAC), but recurring revenue growth (+18% YoY in both service and reagents) and U.S. strength (+7% YoY) support sequential recovery and margin improvement .
- Guidance narrowed to $196–$205M, lowering the top end; expect back-end-weighted instrument seasonality to be the key 2H catalyst along with Evo adoption .
- Product cycle remains a differentiator: Aurora Evo’s throughput/automation and harmonization should resonate with big pharma, supporting mix and margins; Muse Micro expands entry-level reach .
- Evidence of share gains via FSP unit growth (+3% YoY) despite a weak CapEx tape; installed base scale (3,295 units) is compounding recurring revenue opportunity .
- Margin setup is improving: Q2 GAAP gross margin 52% vs 49% in Q1; CFO flagged further H2 improvement as instrument mix rises and one-offs subside .
- Balance sheet remains a strategic asset ($262M cash/marketable securities) for organic investment and selective M&A; buybacks continue (Q2: $4.5M) .
- Near-term trading lens: watch order cadence into September (3rd month weighting), EMEA instrument demand stabilization, reagent/service growth durability, and early Evo funnel conversion .
Footnote: * Consensus (S&P Global) values retrieved via GetEstimates.